Situation Room
Risk-On
risk appetite 61/100 · 64% confidence
· data as of Jun 17, 16:49 UTC
Risk-On - 4 of 7 regime signals lean risk-on, 2 lean risk-off.
Macro desk →
80/100 (Strong Risk-On)
16.87 calm
40 (Fear)
64% of large-caps above their 50-day MA
205 up vs 278 down today
49 new highs vs 15 new lows
5/11 sectors outperforming SPY (weekly)
Today's Market Brief
AI
The tape is firm as the S&P 500 trades mildly positive after a 3.35% weekly surge, led by our Strong Risk-On market regime, further supported by the VIX holding near 16.87, a calm level that points to reduced volatility expectations among investors. Money rotation into leading sectors like Industrials (+3.9% vs SPY/wk) and Materials (+3.8% vs SPY/wk) is driving the market upwards, at the expense of lagging sectors such as Energy (-8.8% vs SPY/wk) and Consumer Staples (-4.6% vs SPY/wk). Additionally, broad market health is evident as 64% of large-cap stocks are trading above their 50-day moving average, and 46 new highs were set compared to just 14 new lows, signaling strength in the overall market trend. Watch: the VIX remains in the lower end of its range, which, combined with a Fear & Greed index of 40, indicates elevated complacency among investors.
Market open
S&P 500
$7,510.12
-0.02%
Nasdaq
$26,365.15
-0.04%
Dow
$52,184.41
+0.36%
Russell
$2,974.59
+1.20%
VIX
16.87
+2.80%
US 10Y
4.43
-1.27%
Dollar
99.70
+0.16%
Gold
$4,380.70
+1.15%
Oil
$76.01
-0.05%
Bitcoin
$65,867.41
+0.41%
Ethereum
$1,771.49
-1.06%
Fear & Greed
CNN Business
40
Fear
Previous close
39
1 week ago
27
1 month ago
63
1 year ago
57
Market Momentum (S&P 500)
Extreme Greed
Stock Price Strength
Fear
Stock Price Breadth
Fear
Put / Call Options
Neutral
Market Volatility (VIX)
Neutral
Safe Haven Demand
Fear
Junk Bond Demand
Extreme Fear
Indices
Loading chart...
Line view = % change vs the start of the window (all indices compare on one axis). Prices are ~15 min delayed (yfinance).
Sector Rotation (RS)
LaggingLeading
Earnings This Week
| Day | Pre-Market | After-Market |
|---|---|---|
| Wed17 Jun Today | $JBL | $FER$EC$ICLR |
| Thu18 Jun | $ACN$KR | EMPTY |
| Fri19 Jun | EMPTY | EMPTY |
| Mon22 Jun | EMPTY | $WDS |
| Tue23 Jun | $CCL$SUNB | $FDX$CBRS$CCEP |
Sun = before market open (BMO) · Moon = after close (AMC) · faded = reporting time TBD. Live from the Nasdaq calendar.
Movers
All stocks →
Top Gainers
HOOD107.54+11.2%VRT321.47+7.3%MRNA59.14+6.8%AMAT606.00+6.7%WDC724.58+6.4%SNPS476.49+6.3%Q160.89+5.7%
Top Losers
CVNA64.56-7.8%SATS114.07-5.7%CBOE250.46-5.6%APP492.80-4.3%CME250.44-4.3%HPQ23.33-4.0%KR61.67-3.8%
From the latest large-cap scan (not a live tick). "x2.1" = volume vs its average. Most Active is by $ volume (Nasdaq, delayed) · full markets → Click a ticker for full analysis.
Market Breadth
Advancers / Decliners205 / 278
42% advancing today
Above 50-day MA64%
Above 200-day MA66%
49 near 52w high
15 near 52w low
Across 485 large-cap names, from the latest scan.
Top Conviction Setups
All setups →
PFE Pfizer
Pullback inside an uptrend: price returned to the EMA20, RSI cooled off (54) and the MACD is starting to turn
AEE Ameren
Pullback inside an uptrend: price returned to the EMA20, RSI cooled off (55) and the MACD is starting to turn
ES Eversource Energy
Pullback inside an uptrend: price returned to the EMA20, RSI cooled off (54) and the MACD is starting to turn
MCHP Microchip Technology
Pullback inside an uptrend: price returned to the EMA20, RSI cooled off (54) and the MACD is starting to turn
NXPI NXP Semiconductors
Pullback inside an uptrend: price returned to the EMA20, RSI cooled off (54) and the MACD is starting to turn
PWR Quanta Services
Pullback inside an uptrend: price returned to the EMA20, RSI cooled off (54) and the MACD is starting to turn
Insider Accumulation Leaderboard · ranked SEC buys
Smart money →
Ex-Dividends This Week
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares Incorporated Common Stock
06-17
$0.155
LRCX
Lam Research Corporation Common Stock
06-17
$0.26
NDSN
Nordson Corporation Common Stock
06-18
$0.82
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
06-22
$0.65
CINF
Cincinnati Financial Corporation Common Stock
06-23
$0.94
ESLT
Elbit Systems Ltd. Ordinary Shares
06-23
$1.0
Large-cap names going ex-dividend. Live from the Nasdaq calendar.
Upcoming IPOs
DPC
DPC Holdings Ltd
NYSE
28.00-32.00
6/25/2026
FCBM
First Carolina Financial Services, Inc.
NYSE
14.00-16.00
6/18/2026
KARD
Kardigan, Inc.
NASDAQ Global
14.00-16.00
6/18/2026
TVIVU
Texas Ventures Acquisition IV Corp
NASDAQ Global
10.00
6/18/2026
New listings pricing soon. Live from the Nasdaq IPO calendar.
Market News
Open NEWS page →
SpaceX is sucking the oxygen out of the new space trade
Yahoo Finance
Snap breaks from the pack with heavy $2,195 smart glasses. Wall Street is panning the move.
MarketWatch
Bitcoin, XRP brace for Kevin Warsh's first FOMC
Yahoo Finance
MBAs Have The People-Skills Edge. Employers Still Struggle To Measure It
Yahoo Finance
Nippon Steel sees strong American market lifting US Steel earnings
Yahoo Finance
Checking account vs. cash management account: Which one is better for holding cash?
Yahoo Finance
Watchlist Ideas · thematic large-cap baskets · as of last scan
Show all ideas →
Latest Agent Insights
news · confidence 70%
17/06 17:16
News Attention Radar — 67/100
Overall Attention Score (hype, not economic importance): 67/100
Driving now: economic data/policy, company/market moves, social hype/narratives
[High · 80/100] What will the post-Iran economy look like? - The Week
why trending: across 6 sources, 6 related stories, viral/hype language · where: BB...
news · confidence 65%
17/06 17:16
Market News Brief - what is driving the tape
The current market is driven by four dominant themes: the resurgence of special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs), the growth of the new space trade led by SpaceX, the impact of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings on cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP, and the ongoing streamin...
news · confidence 70%
17/06 17:02
News Attention Radar — 67/100
Overall Attention Score (hype, not economic importance): 67/100
Driving now: economic data/policy, company/market moves, social hype/narratives
[High · 80/100] Iran's economy in shambles, not better off than before: Liz Peek - Fox Business
why trending: across 6 sources, 6 related stories, viral...
news · confidence 65%
17/06 17:02
Market News Brief - what is driving the tape
**Market Brief: Key Themes and Company-Specific Stories**
**Dominant Themes:**
1. **Inflation and Economic Recovery**: The market is cautiously optimistic about the US economy's rebound from the recent downturn, driven by strong retail sales data (Credit Cards, Tax Refunds Fuel May Retail Sales) a...
strategy · confidence 60%
17/06 16:55
Lab Conclusion: 20-day high breakout on volume
**1. Strongest Strategy:**
Based on the backtest results, the 20-day high breakout on volume is currently the strongest strategy with a win rate of 55.9%, a profit factor of 2.0, and a total return of 1928.4%. This indicates its high potential for generating profitable trades. The significant differ...
strategy · confidence 75%
17/06 16:55
Swing Strategy Backtest (24 stocks, ~5 years)
20-day high breakout on volume: 161 trades · win rate 55.9% · average +2.15% · total +1928.4% · drawdown 26.0% · PF 2.0 (beats B&H)
Oversold Bounce: 148 trades · win rate 51.4% · average +0.57% · total +91.2% · drawdown 40.6% · PF 1.29 (below B&H)
Pullback in an uptrend: 512 trades · win rate 50.0...
smart_money · confidence 65%
17/06 16:55
Where the smart money is flowing - summary
Based on the fresh insider and 13F data, it appears that investors are allocating significant funds into growth-oriented sectors such as software, e-commerce, and technology. Notable stocks include $FISV, $LULU, $ADSK, and $PYPL, which have seen coordinated buying among insiders.
The sectors that s...
smart_money · confidence 75%
17/06 16:55
Notable insider purchases (over $200K)
$NDAQ: Investor Ab (10%) bought $4,882,116 at 85.98
$BSBR: Leao Mario Roberto Opice (CEO) bought $1,489,458 at 5.38
$FISV: Rosman Adam L. (Chief Admin., Legal Officer) bought $500,700 at 49.33
$LULU: Bergh Charles V (Dir) bought $500,384 at 117.05
$ADSK: Moorjani Janesh (EVP, CFO) bought $494,175 at...
Alerts
smart_money
CEO purchases:
$BSBR (large-cap): Leao Mario Roberto Opice bought $1,489,458 on 2026-06-16
$SOFI (large-cap): Noto Antho
technical
$AEE (Ameren) - swing setup, score 83.9: Pullback inside an uptrend: price returned to the EMA20, RSI cooled off (55) an
news
Market Attention Score: 61/100 (hype, not importance)
Driving now: economic data/policy, geopolitics, social hype/narr
news
Economy — trending now:
[Medium] US stocks drift ahead of the Fed's announcement on interest rates - The Washington P
news
Markets / Companies — trending now:
[Medium] Here’s What Analysts Say About ONEOK (OKE)
why: across 2 sources, vira
sentiment
Mention acceleration: $HOOD (4 mentions, x52.5 above average), $MRNA (3 mentions, x22.9 above average), $META (3 mention
news
Geopolitics —
• I’ll resume bombing if Iran acts up, Trump warns after criticism of deal - The Guardian
https://news.g
smart_money
CEO purchase: $BSBR ($1,489,458), $SOFI ($250,787)
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